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2010-player-preview-mariano-gomez | February | 2010 Articles

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2010 Player Preview: Mariano Gomez

Written by Joe Lucia on .

The internet loves him! I really don't! Its...Mariano Gomez! As the intro stated, I don't really like Mariano Gomez. The casual/uneducated fan will look at his basic numbers and think he's the best thing since sliced bread. "He went 8-4 out of the bullpen and had an ERA of 1.99! GIVE THAT MAN A BULLPEN SPOT!" Whereas the smarter fan will look at his dire 4.48 K/9 and 3.61 BB/9, as well as the fact that he's 27 and go "ehh, he's a warm body". Taking a little bit of a deeper look at his peripherals reveal why his ERA was so low despite the abysmal K ratio: a whole lot of luck. Gomez had a BABIP of .222. Thats right, .222. In other words, his BABIP was actually lower than Kelly Johnson's, and we all know how unlucky he was this year. That low BABIP resulted in a .200 BAA despite Gomez not having any stuff to speak of that he can use to get hitters out. Another stat that contributed to his absurdly low ERA was the strand rate of 82.7%. Thats very high, and most definitely unsustainable. The low K rate may have just been an outlier, as prior to this season, he's never posted a number under 6.00 per 9. But when you post a FIP of 4.11 as a 27 year old in AAA, I really have no desire for you to become a member of my bullpen. This guy is essentially Manny Acosta, but a year younger. Pass. Final projection: bullpen fodder in AAA, and hopefully doesn't sniff the major league roster.
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