Hudson was, quite frankly, completely awesome for the Braves in 2010. He made the All-Star team and finished 4th in Cy Young voting. Each of those honors were the first time for Hudson as a Brave. Hudson transformed himself as a pitcher after his injury, turning into an absolute ground ball machine who could get the big strikeout when he needed to and didn't walk a whole lot of batters. His K rate was 5.47, lower than each of his seasons in Oakland but the second highest in his tenure as a Brave over a full season. His walk rate jumped to 2.91, slightly higher than his career average. But the ground ball rate is where Hudson shined. Hudson's mark of 64.1% was not only 5% higher than his career norm, but it was also tops in the majors. Fun fact: no other pitcher had a rate higher than 60%. And there's Hudson, over 64%. Amazing.
Overall though, Hudson outperformed his peripherals. But then again, guys who get groundballs that frequently will generally have things skewed a little more due to the lack of hard hit balls. Despite a 2.83 ERA, Hudson's FIP was only 4.09, and his xFIP was 3.87. I'd feel a lot more comfortable if Hudson was able to boost his strikeouts a little bit and cut his walks a little bit in order to get things a little more in line with the way they're supposed to be. But in the end, if he's able to consistently outperform his peripherals over the life of his contract with an obscene groundball ratio, I'll take it. I'd expect the ERA to rise a little bit in 2011 though, with Martin Prado and his consistent (albeit mediocre) defense being shifted to the outfield in favor of the butcher that is Dan Uggla. That strand rate of 81.2% probably won't stay that high, either. Overall projection...I'd say a 3.30 ERA and 16 wins. Sounds about right.