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2012-player-preview-brandon-beachy | January | 2012 Articles

2012 Player Preview: Brandon Beachy

Written by Joe Lucia on .

beachyBrandon Beachy was an absolutely critical part of the 2011 Braves rotation. He was third on staff in fWAR at 2.8, despite only throwing 141 2/3 innings. The two players better were Craig Kimbrel, the best reliever in baseball, and Tim Hudson, who threw nearly 75 more innings than Beachy. So that 2.8 fWAR is a pretty solid number considering Beachy's body of work. He missed about a month with a strained oblique in May-June, and while that hurt the team overall, I think it may have helped...just because it limited Beachy's innings. He threw 135 in 2010, and the team probably didn't want to overexert him, though another 30 innings wouldn't have hurt.

As for Beachy's on-field performance, it was stellar. He led the pitching staff (AS A ROOKIE) with 169 strikeouts, and had a solid 3.68 ERA, which was backed up by an even better 3.19 FIP (and 3.16 xFIP for that matter). His 10.74 strikeout rate led all of baseball for a pitcher with at least 140 innings pitched. To call Beachy's rookie year anything but a success would be an absolute, flat-out lie.

There is still room for improvement, however. Beachy allowed 16 homers, too high of a total for 140 innings of work. Beachy is a flyball pitcher, so that somewhat explains his 33.8% groundball rate, but I'd like to see that get a little higher too. If Beachy is able to keep the ball in the park and on the ground a little better, he could be elite. Even if he replicates his 2011 rates, he'll still be a damn good rotation piece.

With the injury concerns surrounding Jair Jurrjens and Tommy Hanson this season, Beachy is the de facto number two starter following the trade of Derek Lowe in November. It's a very tall order for him, but I think Beachy can absolutely be the pitcher he was in 2011 again in 2012. Even if Hanson and Jurrjens are fully recovered from their shoulder and knee injuries respectively, Beachy is still going to be counted on to be a solid part of the rotation. Both Hanson and Jurrjens have had Jeckyll and Hyde type careers, and Beachy's thusfar has been much more respectable.

I wouldn't go as far as saying Beachy can be a staff ace racking up 5 fWAR seasons like it's no one's business, but if he has a 4 fWAR season in 2012, I wouldn't be surprised at all. In fact, I think that's what I'm expecting out of him. Beachy can take a huge step forward this season, and it's pretty important for the Braves if he does or doesn't. Is he a two year wonder, or is he the type of guy that will be in Atlanta's future plans?

Check out Beachy's 2012 player projection on THT

Photo credit goes to Joe Lucia
2 comments
congtysangoviet1
congtysangoviet1

As for Beachy's on-field performance, it was stellar. He led the pitching staff (AS A ROOKIE) with 169 strikeouts http://bit.ly/sa-bui-tri-la-gi, and had a solid 3.68 ERA, which was backed up by an even better 3.19 FIP (and 3.16 xFIP for that matter). His 10.74 strikeout rate led all of baseball for a pitcher with at least 140 innings pitched. To call Beachy's rookie year anything but a success would be an absolute, flat-out lie.


There is still room for improvement, however. Beachy allowed 16 homers, too high of a total for 140 innings of work. Beachy is a flyball pitcher, so that somewhat explains his 33.8% groundball rate, but I'd like to see sàn gỗ inovar 12mm that get a little higher too. If Beachy is able to keep the ball in the park and on the ground a little better, he could be elite. Even if he replicates his 2011 rates, he'll still be a damn good rotation piece.

baldheaded1der
baldheaded1der

Thanks for the reviews, Joe. They don't go unnoticed.


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